Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultMantova to win ✗65% · @1.40
Double chanceMantova or draw ✗84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Mantova vs Athletic Carpi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Sunday 9 August: Mantova v Athletic Carpi in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
Mantova, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Legnago Salus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Athletic Carpi, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Guidonia Montecelio 1937, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mantova, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Athletic Carpi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mantova 2.5 xG, Athletic Carpi 1.2 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mantova 65%, draw 20%, Athletic Carpi 16%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mantova 2–1 Athletic Carpi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mantova65%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.50
Athletic Carpi16%fair 6.34 · @5.50
3.76Expected goals
2.53Mantova xG
1.23Athletic Carpi xG
55%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Mantova 2.5 – 1.2 Athletic Carpi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mantova
Athletic Carpi
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+21%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-16%
Our expected goals here
2.24
1.09
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mantova to win✗
65%
1.55
1.40
Double chance
Mantova or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Mantova (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Mantova -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
First team to score
Mantova to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Mantova ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mantova / FT Mantova✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Mantova – last 6
WWLWWW
6 Aug
@ Legnago Salus
3–1
W
30 Jul
vs Alcione
6–2
W
8 May
@ Frosinone
0–5
L
1 May
vs Monza
3–2
W
6 Apr
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Cesena
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Athletic Carpi – last 6
WWDLWD
26 Apr
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
3–2
W
3 Apr
vs Pontedera
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Torres
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Gubbio
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Bra
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Perugia
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Athletic Carpi.
What is the prediction for Mantova vs Athletic Carpi?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Mantova vs Athletic Carpi?
On our numbers Mantova have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Athletic Carpi 16%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Athletic Carpi?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Athletic Carpi?
Our predicted score is Mantova 2–1 Athletic Carpi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Athletic Carpi?
Mantova vs Athletic Carpi (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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