Modena 71%Draw 18%Cittadella Vis Modena 10%Expected goals 1.85 – 0.68
58%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.36
5/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultModena to win71% · @1.06
Double chanceModena or draw90% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–08% · fair 11.88
Modena vs Cittadella Vis Modena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 9 August: Modena v Cittadella Vis Modena in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
Modena, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vis Pesaro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cittadella Vis Modena, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Livorno, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Modena 1.9 xG, Cittadella Vis Modena 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Modena 71%, draw 18%, Cittadella Vis Modena 10%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Modena 2–1 Cittadella Vis Modena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Modena71%fair 1.40 · @1.06
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @10.00
Cittadella Vis Modena10%fair 9.66 · @29.00
2.53Expected goals
1.85Modena xG
0.68Cittadella Vis Modena xG
45%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Modena 1.9 – 0.7 Cittadella Vis Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Modena
Cittadella Vis Modena
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-7%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.44
0.73
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Modena to win
71%
1.40
1.06
Double chance
Modena or draw
90%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Modena (draw no bet)
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Modena -0.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.74
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Modena to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Modena ahead at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Modena / FT Modena
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
Modena – last 6
DWLWLL
8 Aug
vs Vis Pesaro
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Trento
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Virtus Bolzano
5–0
W
12 May
vs Juve Stabia
0–1
L
8 May
@ Avellino
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cittadella Vis Modena – last 6
LLWWLW
1 Aug
@ Livorno
1–2
L
3 May
@ Pistoiese
0–5
L
26 Apr
vs Pro Palazzolo
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Sangiuliano City
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Imolese
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Sasso Marconi Zola
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Modena and Cittadella Vis Modena.
What is the prediction for Modena vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Modena vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
On our numbers Modena have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cittadella Vis Modena 10%.
How many goals will there be in Modena vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Modena vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Our predicted score is Modena 2–1 Cittadella Vis Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Modena vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Modena vs Cittadella Vis Modena (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.