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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Roda v Jong PSV U21: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Roda

LWDWD
1–1
FT
Roda 60%Draw 19%Jong PSV U21 21% Expected goals 1.71 – 0.85
60%
Betarazi pick

Roda to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultRoda to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Roda vs Jong PSV U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 9 October the Eerste Divisie brings Roda against Jong PSV U21 at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Roda are 14th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong PSV U21 are 17th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Roda, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to VVV Venlo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Jong PSV U21, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Vitesse, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Roda, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Jong PSV U21.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Roda 0–2 Jong PSV U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Roda 1.7 xG, Jong PSV U21 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Roda 60%, draw 19%, Jong PSV U21 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Roda to win (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roda 1–0 Jong PSV U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Roda60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @3.90
Jong PSV U2121%fair 4.81 · @4.20
2.56Expected goals
1.71Roda xG
0.85Jong PSV U21 xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Roda 1.7 – 0.8 Jong PSV U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRoda to win ✗60%1.661.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.231.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.44
Draw no betRoda (draw no bet)74%1.34–
Asian handicapJong PSV U21 +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.89–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreRoda to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Roda / FT Roda ✗36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

Roda – last 6

LWDWDD
4 Oct@ VVV Venlo0–2L
26 Sepvs Waalwijk2–0W
18 Sep@ Jong Ajax0–0D
12 Sepvs Vitesse1–0W
6 Sep@ MVV1–1D
28 Augvs NAC Breda2–2D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Jong PSV U21 – last 6

LDLWDD
19 Sep@ Vitesse1–3L
14 Sepvs Jong AZ1–1D
11 Sep@ Helmond Sport1–3L
7 Sepvs Den Bosch3–1W
31 Augvs Jong Ajax1–1D
28 Aug@ Waalwijk2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Roda v Jong PSV U210–2
Roda vs Jong PSV U21 head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Roda vs Jong PSV U21?

Our pick is Roda to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Roda vs Jong PSV U21?

On our numbers Roda have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jong PSV U21 21%.

How many goals will there be in Roda vs Jong PSV U21?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Roda vs Jong PSV U21?

Our predicted score is Roda 1–0 Jong PSV U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Roda vs Jong PSV U21?

Roda vs Jong PSV U21 (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.