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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Águia de Marabá v Parnahyba: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira

Águia de Marabá

LLWWL
2–0
FT

Parnahyba

WWDLL
Águia de Marabá 58%Draw 25%Parnahyba 17% Expected goals 1.85 – 1.02
58%
Betarazi pick

Águia de Marabá to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultÁguia de Marabá to win ✓58% · @1.50
Double chanceÁguia de Marabá or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Águia de Marabá vs Parnahyba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Saturday 27 June: Águia de Marabá v Parnahyba in the Serie D, played at Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira.

Current form

Águia de Marabá, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Parnahyba, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Parnahyba, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Águia de Marabá, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Parnahyba 2–1 Águia de Marabá.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Águia de Marabá 1.9 xG, Parnahyba 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Águia de Marabá 58%, draw 25%, Parnahyba 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Águia de Marabá to win (58%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águia de Marabá 1–0 Parnahyba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Águia de Marabá58%fair 1.71 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.50
Parnahyba17%fair 5.94 · @5.80
2.88Expected goals
1.85Águia de Marabá xG
1.02Parnahyba xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Águia de Marabá 1.9 – 1.0 Parnahyba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÁguia de Marabá to win ✓58%1.711.50
Double chanceÁguia de Marabá or draw ✓83%1.201.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.95 ▲
Draw no betÁguia de Marabá (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapParnahyba +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreÁguia de Marabá to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultÁguia de Marabá ahead at half-time ✓41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Águia de Marabá / FT Águia de Marabá ✓35%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Águia de Marabá – last 6

LLWWLL
21 Jun@ Parnahyba1–2L
6 Jun@ Trem0–2L
30 Mayvs Tocantinópolis3–1W
23 May@ Imperatriz3–0W
17 May@ Tuna Luso1–2L
6 Mayvs Paysandu1–5L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Parnahyba – last 6

WWDLLD
21 Junvs Águia de Marabá2–1W
7 Junvs Moto Club1–0W
30 May@ Iguatu2–2D
24 Mayvs Maracanã0–1L
17 May@ Sampaio Correa1–4L
22 Febvs Teresina Esporte Club1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Parnahyba v Águia de Marabá2–1
Águia de Marabá vs Parnahyba head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau1 São Luiz1 Pens 1–3 150%1.85X27%2.88222%4.00 1.3–0.8xG 1XBlumenau or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Santa Catarina1 Sao Jose1 Pens 2–4 139%2.15X29%2.70232%3.40 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.10 ✓
FT Ipatinga2 Vitória ES0 137%2.00X27%2.80235%3.75 1.1–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.05 ✗
FT Maracanã0 Imperatriz0 Pens 6–7 153%1.73X28%3.00219%4.75 1.4–0.8xG 1Maracanã to win 53%@1.73 ✗
FT Trem1 Sampaio Correa2 139%2.50X26%2.88235%2.62 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.83 ✓
FT Água Santa1 Velo Clube1 Pens 1–4 149%1.85X27%2.88224%4.20 1.4–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.20 ✓
FT Iguatu1 Tuna Luso1 153%1.80X24%3.10222%4.00 1.8–1.1xG 1XIguatu or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0 161%1.25X24%4.50214%11.00 1.4–0.7xG 1Portuguesa to win 61%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Águia de Marabá vs Parnahyba?

Our pick is Águia de Marabá to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Águia de Marabá vs Parnahyba?

On our numbers Águia de Marabá have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Parnahyba 17%.

How many goals will there be in Águia de Marabá vs Parnahyba?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Águia de Marabá vs Parnahyba?

Our predicted score is Águia de Marabá 1–0 Parnahyba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Águia de Marabá vs Parnahyba?

Águia de Marabá vs Parnahyba (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.