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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Capital Brasilia v Aparecidense: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Capital Brasilia

DWWDD
4–0
FT

Aparecidense

DDDLD
Capital Brasilia 56%Draw 26%Aparecidense 19% Expected goals 1.70 – 0.90
56%
Betarazi pick

Capital Brasilia to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCapital Brasilia to win ✓56% · @1.80
Double chanceCapital Brasilia or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aparecidense travel to face Capital Brasilia on Saturday 27 June in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.

Current form

Capital Brasilia, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aparecidense, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Aparecidense, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Capital Brasilia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Capital Brasilia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Aparecidense.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended Aparecidense 1–1 Capital Brasilia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Capital Brasilia 1.7 xG, Aparecidense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Capital Brasilia 56%, draw 26%, Aparecidense 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Capital Brasilia or draw (81%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Capital Brasilia to win (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Capital Brasilia 1–0 Aparecidense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Capital Brasilia56%fair 1.79 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
Aparecidense19%fair 5.35 · @4.20
2.60Expected goals
1.70Capital Brasilia xG
0.90Aparecidense xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Capital Brasilia 1.7 – 0.9 Aparecidense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCapital Brasilia to win ✓56%1.791.80
Double chanceCapital Brasilia or draw ✓81%1.231.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.872.05 ▲
Draw no betCapital Brasilia (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapAparecidense +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreCapital Brasilia to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Capital Brasilia / FT Capital Brasilia ✓35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.35–

Recent results

Capital Brasilia – last 6

DWWDDD
20 Jun@ Aparecidense1–1D
7 Junvs União Rondonópolis2–0W
30 May@ CEOV Operário5–1W
29 Aprvs Operario Ferroviario2–2D
16 Apr@ Vila Nova0–0D
8 Apr@ Araguaína0–0D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Aparecidense – last 6

DDDLDW
20 Junvs Capital Brasilia1–1D
7 Jun@ Gama2–2D
30 Mayvs Primavera MG1–1D
24 May@ Luverdense0–1L
17 May@ Inhumas1–1D
18 Febvs Centro Oeste4–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026Aparecidense v Capital Brasilia1–1
Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau1 São Luiz1 Pens 1–3 150%1.85X27%2.88222%4.00 1.3–0.8xG 1XBlumenau or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Santa Catarina1 Sao Jose1 Pens 2–4 139%2.15X29%2.70232%3.40 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.10 ✓
FT Ipatinga2 Vitória ES0 137%2.00X27%2.80235%3.75 1.1–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.05 ✗
FT Maracanã0 Imperatriz0 Pens 6–7 153%1.73X28%3.00219%4.75 1.4–0.8xG 1Maracanã to win 53%@1.73 ✗
FT Trem1 Sampaio Correa2 139%2.50X26%2.88235%2.62 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.83 ✓
FT Água Santa1 Velo Clube1 Pens 1–4 149%1.85X27%2.88224%4.20 1.4–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.20 ✓
FT Iguatu1 Tuna Luso1 153%1.80X24%3.10222%4.00 1.8–1.1xG 1XIguatu or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0 161%1.25X24%4.50214%11.00 1.4–0.7xG 1Portuguesa to win 61%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense?

Our pick is Capital Brasilia to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense?

On our numbers Capital Brasilia have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Aparecidense 19%.

How many goals will there be in Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense?

Our predicted score is Capital Brasilia 1–0 Aparecidense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense?

Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.