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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CSA v Lagarto: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

CSA

DWDWW
2–0
FT

Lagarto

DWWDD
CSA 64%Draw 22%Lagarto 13% Expected goals 1.91 – 0.88
64%
Betarazi pick

CSA to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCSA to win ✓64% · @1.30
Double chanceCSA or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14

CSA vs Lagarto: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSA welcome Lagarto for a Serie D fixture on Saturday 27 June (21:00 WAT).

Current form

CSA, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lagarto, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.

Lagarto, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CSA, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours CSA, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Lagarto.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Lagarto 1–1 CSA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSA 1.9 xG, Lagarto 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CSA 64%, draw 22%, Lagarto 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CSA to win (64%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSA 1–0 Lagarto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSA64%fair 1.56 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.33
Lagarto13%fair 7.55 · @8.50
2.79Expected goals
1.91CSA xG
0.88Lagarto xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: CSA 1.9 – 0.9 Lagarto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSA to win ✓64%1.561.30
Double chanceCSA or draw ✓87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.05 ▲
Draw no betCSA (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapCSA -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.89–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreCSA to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultCSA ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSA / FT CSA ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

CSA – last 6

DWDWWW
21 Jun@ Lagarto1–1D
14 Jun@ Atlético Alagoinhas7–1W
31 Mayvs Jacuipense1–1D
17 May@ CSE5–1W
5 Aprvs Atlético Alagoinhas3–0W
2 Apr@ ASA3–2W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lagarto – last 6

DWWDDD
21 Junvs CSA1–1D
14 Junvs Decisão1–0W
30 May@ Treze2–1W
24 May@ Retrô1–1D
17 Mayvs Sergipe1–1D
5 Apr@ Decisão1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Lagarto v CSA1–1
CSA vs Lagarto head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau1 São Luiz1 Pens 1–3 150%1.85X27%2.88222%4.00 1.3–0.8xG 1XBlumenau or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Santa Catarina1 Sao Jose1 Pens 2–4 139%2.15X29%2.70232%3.40 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.10 ✓
FT Ipatinga2 Vitória ES0 137%2.00X27%2.80235%3.75 1.1–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.05 ✗
FT Maracanã0 Imperatriz0 Pens 6–7 153%1.73X28%3.00219%4.75 1.4–0.8xG 1Maracanã to win 53%@1.73 ✗
FT Trem1 Sampaio Correa2 139%2.50X26%2.88235%2.62 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.83 ✓
FT Água Santa1 Velo Clube1 Pens 1–4 149%1.85X27%2.88224%4.20 1.4–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.20 ✓
FT Iguatu1 Tuna Luso1 153%1.80X24%3.10222%4.00 1.8–1.1xG 1XIguatu or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0 161%1.25X24%4.50214%11.00 1.4–0.7xG 1Portuguesa to win 61%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSA vs Lagarto?

Our pick is CSA to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win CSA vs Lagarto?

On our numbers CSA have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lagarto 13%.

How many goals will there be in CSA vs Lagarto?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSA vs Lagarto?

Our predicted score is CSA 1–0 Lagarto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is CSA vs Lagarto?

CSA vs Lagarto (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.