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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alashkert v Yelimay Semey: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Alashkert Stadium

Alashkert

WWDWW
1–1
FT

Yelimay Semey

WWLLW
Alashkert 46%Draw 34%Yelimay Semey 20% Expected goals 1.83 – 1.04
80%
Betarazi pick

Alashkert or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAlashkert to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceAlashkert or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 9 July the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Alashkert against Yelimay Semey at Alashkert Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Alashkert, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Shirak, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Yelimay Semey, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kyzyl-Zhar, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alashkert 1.8 xG, Yelimay Semey 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alashkert 46%, draw 34%, Yelimay Semey 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Alashkert or draw (80%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Alashkert or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alashkert 1–1 Yelimay Semey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alashkert46%fair 2.19 · @2.10
Draw34%fair 2.92 · @3.10
Yelimay Semey20%fair 4.99 · @3.30
2.87Expected goals
1.83Alashkert xG
1.04Yelimay Semey xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%

From our goals model: Alashkert 1.8 – 1.0 Yelimay Semey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlashkert to win ✗46%2.192.10
Double chanceAlashkert or draw ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.85
Draw no betAlashkert (draw no bet)70%1.44–
Asian handicapYelimay Semey +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreAlashkert to score first60%1.66–
Half-time resultAlashkert ahead at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alashkert / FT Alashkert ✗35%2.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Alashkert – last 6

WWDWWD
26 Mayvs Shirak2–0W
9 Mayvs Gandzasar3–1W
2 May@ BKMA2–2D
19 Apr@ FC Urartu3–1W
14 Aprvs Ararat2–0W
6 Apr@ Ararat-Armenia1–1D
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Yelimay Semey – last 6

WWLLWW
4 Jul@ Kyzyl-Zhar1–0W
27 Junvs Kyzyl-Zhar2–0W
21 Junvs Atyrau1–2L
14 Junvs Ordabasy1–3L
28 May@ Kaisar3–2W
23 Mayvs Zhenys2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alashkert and Yelimay Semey.

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2 Mornar1 131%2.55X36%3.20232%2.55 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT FK Liepaja1 Dečić0 150%1.65X27%3.35223%5.10 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Dila3 Virtus1 156%1.12X21%6.00224%21.00 1.5–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✗
FT Hegelmann Litauen1 Paide1 126%2.25X34%3.30240%2.80 1.0–1.7xG X2Paide or draw 74%@1.57 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme1 Linfield0 153%1.95X25%3.30222%3.45 1.6–1.0xG 1XKalju Nomme or draw 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Dinamo Minsk0 Sileks1 155%1.48X26%3.70219%6.40 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Marsaxlokk0 Pyunik Yerevan3 120%3.90X25%3.25256%1.85 1.0–1.8xG X2Pyunik Yerevan or draw 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Velež1 Milsami Orhei1 144%1.83X27%3.25229%4.10 1.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey?

Our pick is Alashkert or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey?

On our numbers Alashkert have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Yelimay Semey 20%.

How many goals will there be in Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey?

Our predicted score is Alashkert 1–1 Yelimay Semey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey?

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alashkert Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.