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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes v Mornar: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Estadi Comunal

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

WWLWW
2–1
FT

Mornar

WWDWW
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 31%Draw 36%Mornar 32% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.33
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗36% · @3.20
Double chanceMornar or draw ✗69% · @1.48
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.99

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mornar travel to face Atlètic Club d'Escaldes on Thursday 9 July in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Estadi Comunal the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FC Santa Coloma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Mornar, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dečić, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Mornar, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1.3 xG, Mornar 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 31%, draw 36%, Mornar 32%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mornar or draw (69%) at 1.48.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1–1 Mornar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes31%fair 3.19 · @2.55
Draw36%fair 2.76 · @3.20
Mornar32%fair 3.08 · @2.55
2.61Expected goals
1.29Atlètic Club d'Escaldes xG
1.33Mornar xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1.3 – 1.3 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗36%2.763.20 ▲
Double chanceMornar or draw ✗69%1.461.48
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.80 ▲
Draw no betMornar (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapAtlètic Club d'Escaldes +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreMornar to score first ✓47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mornar / FT Mornar ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13%7.99–

Recent results

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes – last 6

WWLWWD
23 May@ FC Santa Coloma3–2W
17 Mayvs Penya Encarnada2–0W
10 May@ Inter Club d'Escaldes1–3L
30 Aprvs Inter Club d'Escaldes2–1W
26 Aprvs Carroi3–0W
22 Marvs Ordino0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Mornar – last 6

WWDWWW
28 May@ Dečić1–0W
24 May@ Jezero2–0W
20 Mayvs Petrovac1–1D
6 May@ Jezero2–1W
26 Apr@ Mladost DG2–1W
22 Aprvs Jezero1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atlètic Club d'Escaldes and Mornar.

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT Alashkert1 Yelimay Semey1 146%2.10X34%3.10220%3.30 1.8–1.0xG 1XAlashkert or draw 80%@1.25 ✓
FT FK Liepaja1 Dečić0 150%1.65X27%3.35223%5.10 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Dila3 Virtus1 156%1.12X21%6.00224%21.00 1.5–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✗
FT Hegelmann Litauen1 Paide1 126%2.25X34%3.30240%2.80 1.0–1.7xG X2Paide or draw 74%@1.57 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme1 Linfield0 153%1.95X25%3.30222%3.45 1.6–1.0xG 1XKalju Nomme or draw 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Dinamo Minsk0 Sileks1 155%1.48X26%3.70219%6.40 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Marsaxlokk0 Pyunik Yerevan3 120%3.90X25%3.25256%1.85 1.0–1.8xG X2Pyunik Yerevan or draw 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Velež1 Milsami Orhei1 144%1.83X27%3.25229%4.10 1.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?

On our numbers Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 36% and Mornar 32%.

How many goals will there be in Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?

Our predicted score is Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Comunal.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.