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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marsaxlokk v Pyunik Yerevan: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Marsaxlokk Ground

Marsaxlokk

WLDLD
0–3
FT

Pyunik Yerevan

WWLWW
Marsaxlokk 20%Draw 25%Pyunik Yerevan 56% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.75
80%
Betarazi pick

Pyunik Yerevan or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultPyunik Yerevan to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chancePyunik Yerevan or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pyunik Yerevan travel to face Marsaxlokk on Thursday 9 July in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Marsaxlokk Ground the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Marsaxlokk, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gzira United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Pyunik Yerevan, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Van, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Pyunik Yerevan, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Marsaxlokk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marsaxlokk 1.0 xG, Pyunik Yerevan 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marsaxlokk 20%, draw 25%, Pyunik Yerevan 56%.
  • Lower-risk option: Pyunik Yerevan or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Pyunik Yerevan or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marsaxlokk 0–1 Pyunik Yerevan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marsaxlokk20%fair 5.10 · @3.90
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
Pyunik Yerevan56%fair 1.80 · @1.85
2.71Expected goals
0.96Marsaxlokk xG
1.75Pyunik Yerevan xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%

From our goals model: Marsaxlokk 1.0 – 1.8 Pyunik Yerevan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPyunik Yerevan to win ✓56%1.801.85
Double chancePyunik Yerevan or draw ✓80%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.83
Draw no betPyunik Yerevan (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapMarsaxlokk +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scorePyunik Yerevan to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pyunik Yerevan / FT Pyunik Yerevan ✓35%2.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Marsaxlokk – last 6

WLDLDW
19 Aprvs Gzira United2–1W
15 Aprvs Floriana1–3L
8 Marvs Naxxar Lions1–1D
23 Feb@ Hamrun Spartans0–2L
18 Feb@ Floriana0–0D
15 Febvs Hibernians2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pyunik Yerevan – last 6

WWLWWD
27 Mayvs Van2–1W
18 May@ Gandzasar2–0W
6 May@ Ararat-Armenia0–1L
23 Aprvs FC Urartu2–1W
6 Apr@ Shirak1–0W
1 Apr@ FC Noah2–2D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Marsaxlokk and Pyunik Yerevan.

Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2 Mornar1 131%2.55X36%3.20232%2.55 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Alashkert1 Yelimay Semey1 146%2.10X34%3.10220%3.30 1.8–1.0xG 1XAlashkert or draw 80%@1.25 ✓
FT FK Liepaja1 Dečić0 150%1.65X27%3.35223%5.10 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Dila3 Virtus1 156%1.12X21%6.00224%21.00 1.5–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✗
FT Hegelmann Litauen1 Paide1 126%2.25X34%3.30240%2.80 1.0–1.7xG X2Paide or draw 74%@1.57 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme1 Linfield0 153%1.95X25%3.30222%3.45 1.6–1.0xG 1XKalju Nomme or draw 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Dinamo Minsk0 Sileks1 155%1.48X26%3.70219%6.40 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Velež1 Milsami Orhei1 144%1.83X27%3.25229%4.10 1.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?

Our pick is Pyunik Yerevan or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?

On our numbers Marsaxlokk have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pyunik Yerevan 56%.

How many goals will there be in Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?

Our predicted score is Marsaxlokk 0–1 Pyunik Yerevan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?

Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Marsaxlokk Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.