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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FK Liepaja v Dečić: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Daugavas stadions

FK Liepaja

LWLLL
1–0
FT

Dečić

LLLWD
FK Liepaja 50%Draw 27%Dečić 23% Expected goals 1.27 – 0.87
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Liepaja to win ✓50% · @1.65
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓77% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.67

FK Liepaja vs Dečić: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dečić travel to face FK Liepaja on Thursday 9 July in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Daugavas stadions the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

FK Liepaja, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to BFC Daugavpils, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Dečić, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mornar, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 1.3 xG, Dečić 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 50%, draw 27%, Dečić 23%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 1–0 Dečić. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FK Liepaja50%fair 1.99 · @1.65
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.35
Dečić23%fair 4.40 · @5.10
2.13Expected goals
1.27FK Liepaja xG
0.87Dečić xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.3 – 0.9 Dečić expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Liepaja to win ✓50%1.991.65
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓77%1.291.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.991.65
Draw no betFK Liepaja (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapDečić +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.551.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.241.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreFK Liepaja to score first ✓52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Liepaja / FT FK Liepaja ✗26%3.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.67–

Recent results

FK Liepaja – last 6

LWLLLW
4 Jul@ BFC Daugavpils1–3L
30 Junvs Ogre United4–0W
26 Junvs Rīgas FS0–2L
21 Jun@ Riga0–4L
16 Jun@ Grobiņa0–1L
12 Junvs Super Nova2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dečić – last 6

LLLWDW
28 Mayvs Mornar0–1L
24 May@ Bokelj0–1L
20 Mayvs Arsenal Tivat1–2L
6 Mayvs Otrant-Olympic1–0W
26 Aprvs Buducnost Podgorica0–0D
22 Apr@ Otrant-Olympic2–1W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FK Liepaja and Dečić.

FK Liepaja vs Dečić head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2 Mornar1 131%2.55X36%3.20232%2.55 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Alashkert1 Yelimay Semey1 146%2.10X34%3.10220%3.30 1.8–1.0xG 1XAlashkert or draw 80%@1.25 ✓
FT Dila3 Virtus1 156%1.12X21%6.00224%21.00 1.5–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✗
FT Hegelmann Litauen1 Paide1 126%2.25X34%3.30240%2.80 1.0–1.7xG X2Paide or draw 74%@1.57 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme1 Linfield0 153%1.95X25%3.30222%3.45 1.6–1.0xG 1XKalju Nomme or draw 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Dinamo Minsk0 Sileks1 155%1.48X26%3.70219%6.40 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Marsaxlokk0 Pyunik Yerevan3 120%3.90X25%3.25256%1.85 1.0–1.8xG X2Pyunik Yerevan or draw 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Velež1 Milsami Orhei1 144%1.83X27%3.25229%4.10 1.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Dečić?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win FK Liepaja vs Dečić?

On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Dečić 23%.

How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Dečić?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Dečić?

Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 1–0 Dečić, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is FK Liepaja vs Dečić?

FK Liepaja vs Dečić (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.