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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hegelmann Litauen v Paide: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Raudondvario stadionas

Hegelmann Litauen

DLDDL
1–1
FT

Paide

WDWWD
Hegelmann Litauen 26%Draw 34%Paide 40% Expected goals 1.03 – 1.72
74%
Betarazi pick

Paide or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.57Odds
2

Value bet: Paide to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPaide to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chancePaide or draw ✓74% · @1.57
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 9 July the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Hegelmann Litauen against Paide at Raudondvario stadionas. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Hegelmann Litauen, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Panevėžys, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Paide, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Vaprus, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Paide, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Hegelmann Litauen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hegelmann Litauen 1.0 xG, Paide 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hegelmann Litauen 26%, draw 34%, Paide 40%.
  • Lower-risk option: Paide or draw (74%) at 1.57.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Paide to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Paide or draw (74%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.35, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hegelmann Litauen26%fair 3.87 · @2.25
Draw34%fair 2.96 · @3.30
Paide40%fair 2.47 · @2.80
2.74Expected goals
1.03Hegelmann Litauen xG
1.72Paide xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Hegelmann Litauen 1.0 – 1.7 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPaide to win ✗40%2.472.80 ▲
Double chancePaide or draw ✓74%1.351.57 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.62
Draw no betPaide (draw no bet)61%1.64–
Asian handicapHegelmann Litauen +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scorePaide to score first59%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paide / FT Paide ✗33%3.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Hegelmann Litauen – last 6

DLDDLW
4 Jul@ Panevėžys1–1D
28 Jun@ Banga0–2L
17 Junvs Džiugas Telšiai1–1D
14 Junvs Kauno Žalgiris1–1D
29 May@ TransINVEST Vilnius1–2L
24 May@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius3–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Paide – last 6

WDWWDD
4 Julvs Vaprus3–1W
28 Jun@ Kalju Nomme1–1D
21 Jun@ Flora Tallinn2–1W
17 Junvs Laagri1–0W
14 Jun@ Kalju Nomme1–1D
31 Mayvs Kuressaare1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hegelmann Litauen and Paide.

Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2 Mornar1 131%2.55X36%3.20232%2.55 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Alashkert1 Yelimay Semey1 146%2.10X34%3.10220%3.30 1.8–1.0xG 1XAlashkert or draw 80%@1.25 ✓
FT FK Liepaja1 Dečić0 150%1.65X27%3.35223%5.10 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Dila3 Virtus1 156%1.12X21%6.00224%21.00 1.5–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✗
FT Kalju Nomme1 Linfield0 153%1.95X25%3.30222%3.45 1.6–1.0xG 1XKalju Nomme or draw 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Dinamo Minsk0 Sileks1 155%1.48X26%3.70219%6.40 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Marsaxlokk0 Pyunik Yerevan3 120%3.90X25%3.25256%1.85 1.0–1.8xG X2Pyunik Yerevan or draw 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Velež1 Milsami Orhei1 144%1.83X27%3.25229%4.10 1.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

Our pick is Paide or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

On our numbers Hegelmann Litauen have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Paide 40%.

How many goals will there be in Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

Our predicted score is Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Raudondvario stadionas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.