Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Milsami Orhei to win @ 4.10 – our chance 29% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVelež to win ✗44% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.16
Velež vs Milsami Orhei: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Velež welcome Milsami Orhei to Stadion Rodjeni for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 9 July (18:00 WAT).
Current form
Velež, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Zrinjski, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Milsami Orhei, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Petrocub, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Velež, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Milsami Orhei.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Velež 1.1 xG, Milsami Orhei 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Velež 44%, draw 27%, Milsami Orhei 29%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Milsami Orhei to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velež 1–1 Milsami Orhei. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Velež44%fair 2.25 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.25
Milsami Orhei29%fair 3.50 · @4.10
2.29Expected goals
1.15Velež xG
1.14Milsami Orhei xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Velež 1.1 – 1.1 Milsami Orhei expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velež to win✗
44%
2.25
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Velež (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Milsami Orhei +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Velež to score first
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velež / FT Velež✗
20%
4.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.16
–
Recent results
Velež – last 6
LLDLWW
26 May
@ Zrinjski
0–3
L
21 May
vs FK Sarajevo
2–3
L
13 May
vs Zrinjski
1–1
D
6 May
@ Zrinjski
0–1
L
1 May
vs Radnik Bijeljina
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Siroki Brijeg
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Milsami Orhei – last 6
LDDLLD
4 Jul
@ Petrocub
0–5
L
27 Jun
vs Zimbru
0–0
D
17 May
vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0–0
D
13 May
vs Zimbru
0–1
L
6 May
@ Zimbru
0–2
L
22 Apr
@ Spartanii Selemet
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velež and Milsami Orhei.
What is the prediction for Velež vs Milsami Orhei?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Velež vs Milsami Orhei?
On our numbers Velež have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Milsami Orhei 29%.
How many goals will there be in Velež vs Milsami Orhei?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velež vs Milsami Orhei?
Our predicted score is Velež 1–1 Milsami Orhei, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Velež vs Milsami Orhei?
Velež vs Milsami Orhei (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodjeni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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