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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Penybont v FC Santa Coloma: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Cardiff City Stadium

Penybont

LLL
0–1
FT

FC Santa Coloma

LLDWW
Penybont 35%Draw 25%FC Santa Coloma 40% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.36
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Santa Coloma to win ✓40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.17

Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Thursday 9 July: Penybont v FC Santa Coloma in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Cardiff City Stadium.

Current form

Penybont, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Barry Town, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

FC Santa Coloma, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours FC Santa Coloma, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Penybont.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Penybont 1.4 xG, FC Santa Coloma 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Penybont 35%, draw 25%, FC Santa Coloma 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penybont 1–1 FC Santa Coloma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Penybont35%fair 2.88 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.40
FC Santa Coloma40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
2.76Expected goals
1.40Penybont xG
1.36FC Santa Coloma xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%

From our goals model: Penybont 1.4 – 1.4 FC Santa Coloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Santa Coloma to win ✓40%2.482.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.65
Draw no betFC Santa Coloma (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapFC Santa Coloma +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.441.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scorePenybont to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Penybont / FT Penybont ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.17–

Recent results

Penybont – last 3

LLL
3 Aprvs Barry Town0–2L
3 Mar@ Barry Town0–1L
21 Feb@ Colwyn Bay1–3L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC Santa Coloma – last 6

LLDWWW
23 Mayvs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2–3L
10 Mayvs Ordino0–1L
30 Aprvs UE Santa Coloma0–0D
19 Aprvs Esperança d'Andorra4–0W
13 Mar@ Ranger's1–0W
8 Marvs Inter Club d'Escaldes3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Penybont and FC Santa Coloma.

Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2 Mornar1 131%2.55X36%3.20232%2.55 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Alashkert1 Yelimay Semey1 146%2.10X34%3.10220%3.30 1.8–1.0xG 1XAlashkert or draw 80%@1.25 ✓
FT FK Liepaja1 Dečić0 150%1.65X27%3.35223%5.10 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Dila3 Virtus1 156%1.12X21%6.00224%21.00 1.5–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✗
FT Hegelmann Litauen1 Paide1 126%2.25X34%3.30240%2.80 1.0–1.7xG X2Paide or draw 74%@1.57 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme1 Linfield0 153%1.95X25%3.30222%3.45 1.6–1.0xG 1XKalju Nomme or draw 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Dinamo Minsk0 Sileks1 155%1.48X26%3.70219%6.40 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Marsaxlokk0 Pyunik Yerevan3 120%3.90X25%3.25256%1.85 1.0–1.8xG X2Pyunik Yerevan or draw 80%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

On our numbers Penybont have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Santa Coloma 40%.

How many goals will there be in Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

Our predicted score is Penybont 1–1 FC Santa Coloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.