FC Tokyo 44%Draw 22%Kashiwa Reysol 35%Expected goals 1.81 – 1.59
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Kashiwa Reysol to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 21 October the J1 League brings FC Tokyo against Kashiwa Reysol at Ajinomoto Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, FC Tokyo are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; Kashiwa Reysol are 8th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Tokyo, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Tokyo Verdy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Kashiwa Reysol, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Nagoya Grampus, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.5 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 FC Tokyo. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Tokyo 1 win, Kashiwa Reysol 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Tokyo 1.8 xG, Kashiwa Reysol 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tokyo 44%, draw 22%, Kashiwa Reysol 35%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Kashiwa Reysol to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tokyo 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Tokyo44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Kashiwa Reysol35%fair 2.89 · @3.25
3.40Expected goals
1.81FC Tokyo xG
1.59Kashiwa Reysol xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: FC Tokyo 1.8 – 1.6 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kashiwa Reysol 35%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka1
Gamba Osaka2
Vissel Kobe1
Kyoto Sanga2
Nagoya Grampus1
Cerezo Osaka1
Fagiano Okayama2
Shimizu S-pulse0
V-varen Nagasaki4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0