Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shimizu S-pulse welcome Machida Zelvia to IAI Stadium Nihondaira for a J1 League fixture on Wednesday 21 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Shimizu S-pulse are 7th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Machida Zelvia are 3rd (among the top four) with 37. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gamba Osaka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Machida Zelvia, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Avispa Fukuoka, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 1.2 xG, Machida Zelvia 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 31%, draw 23%, Machida Zelvia 46%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Machida Zelvia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimizu S-pulse31%fair 3.19 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Machida Zelvia46%fair 2.18 · @2.10
2.80Expected goals
1.24Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.56Machida Zelvia xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.2 – 1.6 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✓
46%
2.18
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Draw no bet
Machida Zelvia (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Shimizu S-pulse +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Machida Zelvia to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✓
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
DLWDWW
17 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
2–2
D
14 Oct
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Mito Hollyhock
2–1
W
7 Oct
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–1
D
29 Sep
@ Kanazawa
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia – last 6
WWWDWL
18 Oct
vs Avispa Fukuoka
3–0
W
15 Oct
@ Tampines Rovers
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Kyoto Sanga
0–0
D
23 Sep
vs Tochigi City
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Machida Zelvia.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Machida Zelvia 46%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka1
Gamba Osaka2
Vissel Kobe1
Kyoto Sanga2
Nagoya Grampus1
Cerezo Osaka1
Fagiano Okayama2
V-varen Nagasaki4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0