Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗65% · @1.44
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✗86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 21 October the J1 League brings V-varen Nagasaki against Sanfrecce Hiroshima at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, V-varen Nagasaki are 9th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kashima, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kyoto Sanga, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for V-varen Nagasaki.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give V-varen Nagasaki 0.9 xG, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – V-varen Nagasaki 14%, draw 21%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 65%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: V-varen Nagasaki 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
V-varen Nagasaki14%fair 7.12 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.50
Sanfrecce Hiroshima65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
3.00Expected goals
0.88V-varen Nagasaki xG
2.12Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 0.9 – 2.1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 65%.
How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Tokyo0
Kashiwa Reysol0
Kawasaki Frontale2
Kashima2
Mito Hollyhock0
Machida Zelvia5
Yokohama F. Marinos2
Tokyo Verdy2