Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✗54% · @1.95
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kashima travel to face Kyoto Sanga on Wednesday 21 October in the J1 League, with Sanga Stadium by Kyocera the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Kyoto Sanga are 8th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 18 matches; Kashima are 1st (leading the league) with 45. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kyoto Sanga, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Sanfrecce Hiroshima, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kashima, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over V-varen Nagasaki, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Kyoto Sanga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kyoto Sanga 1.3 xG, Kashima 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kyoto Sanga 22%, draw 23%, Kashima 54%.
Lower-risk option: Kashima or draw (78%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kashima or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyoto Sanga 1–2 Kashima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kyoto Sanga22%fair 4.52 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.30
Kashima54%fair 1.83 · @1.95
3.35Expected goals
1.28Kyoto Sanga xG
2.07Kashima xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Kyoto Sanga 1.3 – 2.1 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✗
54%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Kashima (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Kyoto Sanga +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Kashima to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Kyoto Sanga – last 6
LWLDWW
17 Oct
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–3
L
13 Oct
vs Ratchaburi
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Machida Zelvia
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Machida Zelvia
0–0
D
23 Sep
vs Fujieda MYFC
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kashima – last 6
WWWWDW
17 Oct
vs V-varen Nagasaki
2–0
W
13 Oct
@ Công An Nhân Dân
1–0
W
9 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
23 Sep
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Kawasaki Frontale
3–3
D
15 Sep
vs Newcastle Jets
7–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kyoto Sanga and Kashima.
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
On our numbers Kyoto Sanga have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kashima 54%.
How many goals will there be in Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Kyoto Sanga 1–2 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka1
Gamba Osaka2
Vissel Kobe1
Nagoya Grampus1
Cerezo Osaka1
Fagiano Okayama2
Shimizu S-pulse0
V-varen Nagasaki4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0