Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultYokohama F. Marinos to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceYokohama F. Marinos or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.86
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tokyo Verdy travel to face Yokohama F. Marinos on Wednesday 21 October in the J1 League, with Japan National Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th, lower half, on 20 points after 18 matches; Tokyo Verdy are 5th (upper half) with 28.
Current form
Yokohama F. Marinos, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with JEF United Chiba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tokyo Verdy, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FC Tokyo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Yokohama F. Marinos, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Tokyo Verdy.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Tokyo Verdy 0–6 Yokohama F. Marinos. The last 2 head-to-heads: Yokohama F. Marinos 2 wins, Tokyo Verdy 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yokohama F. Marinos 1.5 xG, Tokyo Verdy 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yokohama F. Marinos 59%, draw 25%, Tokyo Verdy 16%.
Lower-risk option: Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yokohama F. Marinos 1–0 Tokyo Verdy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yokohama F. Marinos59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
Tokyo Verdy16%fair 6.14 · @4.00
2.20Expected goals
1.54Yokohama F. Marinos xG
0.66Tokyo Verdy xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.5 – 0.7 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Yokohama F. Marinos or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tokyo Verdy 16%.
How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 1–0 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Japan National Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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