Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultFagiano Okayama to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceFagiano Okayama or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mito Hollyhock travel to face Fagiano Okayama on Wednesday 21 October in the J1 League, with JFE Harenokuni Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Fagiano Okayama are 6th, lower half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Mito Hollyhock are 9th (in the drop zone) with 18.
Current form
Fagiano Okayama, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Vissel Kobe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Mito Hollyhock, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Urawa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fagiano Okayama 1.8 xG, Mito Hollyhock 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fagiano Okayama 58%, draw 26%, Mito Hollyhock 16%.
Lower-risk option: Fagiano Okayama or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fagiano Okayama to win (58%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fagiano Okayama 1–0 Mito Hollyhock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fagiano Okayama58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.40
Mito Hollyhock16%fair 6.33 · @4.50
2.65Expected goals
1.80Fagiano Okayama xG
0.85Mito Hollyhock xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.8 – 0.9 Mito Hollyhock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fagiano Okayama to win✓
58%
1.72
1.75
Double chance
Fagiano Okayama or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Draw no bet
Fagiano Okayama (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Mito Hollyhock +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Fagiano Okayama to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Fagiano Okayama ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fagiano Okayama / FT Fagiano Okayama✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
LDLWWL
18 Oct
vs Vissel Kobe
0–3
L
14 Oct
@ Nagoya Grampus
3–3
D
10 Oct
@ Avispa Fukuoka
1–2
L
7 Oct
vs JEF United Chiba
1–0
W
29 Sep
@ Consadole Sapporo
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock – last 6
LWLWLL
17 Oct
vs Urawa
0–1
L
14 Oct
vs FC Tokyo
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Shimizu S-pulse
1–2
L
29 Sep
@ Fukushima United
7–0
W
19 Sep
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Kawasaki Frontale
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and Mito Hollyhock.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our pick is Fagiano Okayama to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mito Hollyhock 16%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–0 Mito Hollyhock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at JFE Harenokuni Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka1
Gamba Osaka2
Vissel Kobe1
Kyoto Sanga2
Nagoya Grampus1
Cerezo Osaka1
Shimizu S-pulse0
V-varen Nagasaki4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0