NK Varazdin v FK Jablonec Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Jul) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗38% · @3.35

Double chanceFK Jablonec or draw ✗69% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.67

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.52

NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 23 July the UEFA Europa Conference League brings NK Varazdin against FK Jablonec at Stadion Varteks. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.

Current form

NK Varazdin, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bihor Oradea, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FK Jablonec, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours NK Varazdin, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for FK Jablonec.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NK Varazdin 1.2 xG, FK Jablonec 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – NK Varazdin 31%, draw 38%, FK Jablonec 32%.
Lower-risk option: FK Jablonec or draw (69%) at 1.40.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Varazdin 1–1 FK Jablonec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NK Varazdin31%fair 3.26 · @2.85

Draw38%fair 2.65 · @3.35

FK Jablonec32%fair 3.16 · @2.28

2.27Expected goals

1.17NK Varazdin xG

1.10FK Jablonec xG

54%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

1–27%

From our goals model: NK Varazdin 1.2 – 1.1 FK Jablonec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Draw ✗	38%	2.65	3.35 ▲
Double chance	FK Jablonec or draw ✗	69%	1.44	1.40
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.86	1.67
Draw no bet	FK Jablonec (draw no bet) ✗	51%	1.97	–
Asian handicap	FK Jablonec +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.80	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	76%	1.32	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	92%	1.09	–
First team to score	NK Varazdin to score first	46%	2.16	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.15	–
Half-time / full-time	HT NK Varazdin / FT NK Varazdin ✗	21%	4.71	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–1 ✗	13%	7.52	–

NK Varazdin – last 6

WWWWLW

12 Jul	@ Bihor Oradea	3–1	W
10 Jul	@ Radomlje	1–0	W
4 Jul	vs CSKA 1948	1–0	W
2 Jul	vs FC Voluntari	2–1	W
27 Jun	@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	1–2	L
23 May	vs Istra 1961	2–0	W

1.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

FK Jablonec – last 6

WWLDDW

15 Jul	vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	1–0	W
12 Jul	vs VfL Osnabrück	1–0	W
11 Jul	@ FC Liefering	1–3	L
8 Jul	vs Pafos	0–0	D
3 Jul	vs Ústí nad Labem	1–1	D
26 Jun	vs Vlašim	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec?

On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 38% and FK Jablonec 32%.

How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec?

Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 1–1 FK Jablonec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec?

NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Varteks.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

NK Varazdin v FK Jablonec: numbers & prediction

NK Varazdin