Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓67% · @1.31
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.34
Middlesbrough vs Lincoln: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Middlesbrough v Lincoln in the Championship, played at Riverside Stadium. In the table, Middlesbrough are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Lincoln are 21st (lower half) with 15. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Middlesbrough, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Wrexham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Lincoln, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Derby, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Middlesbrough 2.2 xG, Lincoln 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Middlesbrough 67%, draw 23%, Lincoln 11%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Middlesbrough 2–0 Lincoln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Middlesbrough67%fair 1.50 · @1.31
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.80
Lincoln11%fair 9.34 · @10.25
2.98Expected goals
2.17Middlesbrough xG
0.81Lincoln xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Middlesbrough 2.2 – 0.8 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✓
67%
1.50
1.31
Double chance
Middlesbrough or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Middlesbrough (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Middlesbrough -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
First team to score
Middlesbrough to score first✗
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Middlesbrough ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Middlesbrough – last 6
WDDLDD
7 Aug
vs Wrexham
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Espanyol
3–3
D
18 Jul
@ Celtic
1–1
D
23 May
@ Hull City
0–1
L
12 May
@ Southampton
1–1
D
9 May
vs Southampton
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Lincoln – last 6
WLWLLW
8 Aug
@ Derby
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Barnsley
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Doncaster
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Grimsby
1–5
L
17 Jul
vs Leyton Orient
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Boston United
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Middlesbrough and Lincoln.
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Middlesbrough have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lincoln 11%.
How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?
Our predicted score is Middlesbrough 2–0 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?
Middlesbrough vs Lincoln (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Riverside Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
