Value bet: QPR to win @ 3.05 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPortsmouth to win ✗41% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Portsmouth vs QPR: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
QPR travel to face Portsmouth on Saturday 15 August in the Championship, with Fratton Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Portsmouth are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; QPR are 8th (upper half) with 24. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Portsmouth, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to West Ham, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
QPR, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Millwall, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours QPR, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.5 for Portsmouth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portsmouth 1.3 xG, QPR 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portsmouth 41%, draw 22%, QPR 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: QPR to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portsmouth 1–1 QPR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portsmouth41%fair 2.46 · @2.26
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
QPR37%fair 2.71 · @3.05
2.61Expected goals
1.34Portsmouth xG
1.27QPR xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.3 – 1.3 QPR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portsmouth to win✗
41%
2.46
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.73
Draw no bet
Portsmouth (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
QPR +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Portsmouth to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Portsmouth – last 6
LDDLDL
8 Aug
@ West Ham
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ SV Darmstadt 98
0–0
D
29 Jul
@ Farnborough
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Wycombe
1–3
L
18 Jul
@ Bristol Rovers
1–1
D
15 Jul
@ Aldershot Town
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
QPR – last 6
DWWWWW
8 Aug
vs Millwall
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ AFC Wimbledon
3–2
W
31 Jul
@ Bromley
7–0
W
25 Jul
vs Fiorentina
3–2
W
21 Jul
vs Wycombe
1–0
W
16 Jul
@ SC Wiener Neustadt
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portsmouth and QPR.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Portsmouth vs QPR?
On our numbers Portsmouth have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and QPR 37%.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs QPR?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs QPR?
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 QPR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Portsmouth vs QPR?
Portsmouth vs QPR (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
