Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Norwich to win @ 1.92 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNorwich to win ✗60% · @1.92
Double chanceNorwich or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Norwich vs West Brom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Norwich welcome West Brom to Carrow Road for a Championship fixture on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Norwich are 12th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; West Brom are 5th (upper half) with 28.
Current form
Norwich, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Milton Keynes Dons, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
West Brom, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Rotherham, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours West Brom, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Norwich.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Norwich 1.8 xG, West Brom 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Norwich 60%, draw 21%, West Brom 19%.
Lower-risk option: Norwich or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Norwich to win @1.92 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Norwich or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Norwich 1–0 West Brom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Norwich60%fair 1.66 · @1.92
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
West Brom19%fair 5.33 · @3.80
2.65Expected goals
1.79Norwich xG
0.86West Brom xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Norwich 1.8 – 0.9 West Brom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Norwich to win✗
60%
1.66
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Norwich or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Norwich (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
West Brom +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Norwich to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Norwich ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Norwich / FT Norwich✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Norwich – last 6
WDLDWD
8 Aug
vs Milton Keynes Dons
4–1
W
4 Aug
vs Cambridge United
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Osasuna
1–2
L
22 Jul
@ AFC Wimbledon
0–0
D
17 Jul
@ FC ST. Gallen
3–0
W
11 Jul
vs Colchester
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
West Brom – last 6
WWWWWL
8 Aug
@ Rotherham
4–1
W
1 Aug
@ Peterborough
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Shrewsbury
4–1
W
17 Jul
vs Bromley
4–1
W
11 Jul
@ Sheffield Wednesday
3–0
W
2 May
@ Sheffield Wednesday
1–2
L
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Norwich and West Brom.
Our pick is Norwich or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Norwich vs West Brom?
On our numbers Norwich have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and West Brom 19%.
How many goals will there be in Norwich vs West Brom?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Norwich vs West Brom?
Our predicted score is Norwich 1–0 West Brom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Norwich vs West Brom?
Norwich vs West Brom (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Carrow Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
