Value bet: Sheffield Utd to win @ 2.48 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSheffield Utd to win ✗43% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Sheffield Utd v Birmingham in the Championship, played at Bramall Lane. In the table, Sheffield Utd are 10th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Birmingham are 1st (leading the league) with 29.
Current form
Sheffield Utd, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Mansfield Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Birmingham, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Swansea, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sheffield Utd 1.4 xG, Birmingham 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sheffield Utd 43%, draw 23%, Birmingham 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Sheffield Utd to win @2.48 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sheffield Utd 1–1 Birmingham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sheffield Utd43%fair 2.31 · @2.48
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Birmingham34%fair 2.94 · @2.76
2.57Expected goals
1.38Sheffield Utd xG
1.18Birmingham xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sheffield Utd 1.4 – 1.2 Birmingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheffield Utd to win✗
43%
2.31
2.48 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Draw no bet
Sheffield Utd (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Birmingham +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Sheffield Utd to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sheffield Utd / FT Sheffield Utd✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Sheffield Utd – last 6
WDWWWD
9 Aug
@ Mansfield Town
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ VfL Bochum
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Rotherham
2–0
W
21 Jul
vs Huddersfield
3–1
W
17 Jul
@ Levante
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Chesterfield
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Birmingham – last 6
WDWWWW
8 Aug
@ Swansea
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Barcelona
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Crewe
2–1
W
22 Jul
@ Burton Albion
1–0
W
15 Jul
@ Solihull Moors
3–0
W
10 Jul
vs Huddersfield
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sheffield Utd and Birmingham.
What is the prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
On our numbers Sheffield Utd have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Birmingham 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
Our predicted score is Sheffield Utd 1–1 Birmingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Bramall Lane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
