Value bet: Blackburn to win @ 3.05 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBlackburn to win ✗40% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.76
Lincoln vs Blackburn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 1 September the Championship brings Lincoln against Blackburn at Sincil Bank. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Lincoln are 21st, lower half, on 15 points after 15 matches; Blackburn are 13th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Lincoln, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bolton, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Blackburn, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to QPR, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lincoln 1.4 xG, Blackburn 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lincoln 38%, draw 22%, Blackburn 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Blackburn to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lincoln 1–1 Blackburn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lincoln38%fair 2.63 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Blackburn40%fair 2.49 · @3.05
2.82Expected goals
1.39Lincoln xG
1.44Blackburn xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–28%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Lincoln 1.4 – 1.4 Blackburn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Blackburn to win✗
40%
2.49
3.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Blackburn (draw no bet)
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Lincoln +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Blackburn to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Blackburn / FT Blackburn✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.76
–
Recent results
Lincoln – last 6
WWLLWL
29 Aug
@ Bolton
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Blackpool
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs Portsmouth
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Middlesbrough
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Derby
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Barnsley
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Blackburn – last 6
LLWDWD
29 Aug
vs QPR
1–2
L
25 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Middlesbrough
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Wolves
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Burton Albion
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Huddersfield
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Blackburn.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Lincoln vs Blackburn?
On our numbers Lincoln have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Blackburn 40%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs Blackburn?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Blackburn?
Our predicted score is Lincoln 1–1 Blackburn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lincoln vs Blackburn?
Lincoln vs Blackburn (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Sincil Bank.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
