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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stoke City v Norwich: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · bet365 Stadium
1–0
FT

Norwich

WWLLW
Stoke City 33%Draw 22%Norwich 44% Expected goals 1.77 – 2.06
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultNorwich to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.26

Stoke City vs Norwich: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Norwich travel to face Stoke City on Tuesday 1 September in the Championship, with bet365 Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Stoke City are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Norwich are 12th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Stoke City, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Wolves, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Norwich, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Burnley, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Norwich, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Stoke City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stoke City 1.8 xG, Norwich 2.1 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stoke City 33%, draw 22%, Norwich 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stoke City 1–2 Norwich. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stoke City33%fair 3.03 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Norwich44%fair 2.25 · @2.30
3.83Expected goals
1.77Stoke City xG
2.06Norwich xG
65%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%

From our goals model: Stoke City 1.8 – 2.1 Norwich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorwich to win ✗44%2.252.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.551.67 ▲
Draw no betNorwich (draw no bet) ✗57%1.74–
Asian handicapStoke City +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗90%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
First team to scoreNorwich to score first ✗53%1.90–
Half-time resultNorwich ahead at half-time ✗37%2.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Norwich / FT Norwich ✗28%3.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.26–

Recent results

Stoke City – last 6

LDLLWD
29 Aug@ Wolves1–4L
25 Augvs Hull City1–1D
22 Aug@ Southampton1–3L
15 Augvs Swansea1–2L
8 Augvs Oldham2–0W
1 Augvs Valencia1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Norwich – last 6

WWLLWD
29 Augvs Burnley4–1W
25 Aug@ Cardiff2–1W
22 Aug@ Millwall0–3L
15 Augvs West Brom1–2L
8 Augvs Milton Keynes Dons4–1W
4 Augvs Cambridge United0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Norwich.

Stoke City vs Norwich head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Norwich?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Stoke City vs Norwich?

On our numbers Stoke City have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Norwich 44%.

How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Norwich?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Norwich?

Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–2 Norwich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Stoke City vs Norwich?

Stoke City vs Norwich (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at bet365 Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.