Value bet: Bristol City to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBristol City to win ✓40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83
Preston vs Bristol City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 1 September the Championship brings Preston against Bristol City at Deepdale. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Preston are 24th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 15 matches; Bristol City are 17th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Preston, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Charlton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Bristol City, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Portsmouth, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Bristol City, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Preston.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Preston 1.3 xG, Bristol City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Preston 37%, draw 23%, Bristol City 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Bristol City to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Preston 1–1 Bristol City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Preston37%fair 2.67 · @2.54
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Bristol City40%fair 2.52 · @2.70
2.74Expected goals
1.34Preston xG
1.39Bristol City xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Preston 1.3 – 1.4 Bristol City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol City to win✓
40%
2.52
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Bristol City (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Preston +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
First team to score
Bristol City to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol City / FT Bristol City✓
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.83
–
Recent results
Preston – last 6
LLLLDL
29 Aug
@ Charlton
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Everton
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs Wolves
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Bolton
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Huddersfield
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Stockport County
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bristol City – last 6
WDLLDD
29 Aug
vs Portsmouth
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Birmingham
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Millwall
0–2
L
6 Aug
vs Walsall
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Exeter City
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Plymouth
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Preston and Bristol City.
What is the prediction for Preston vs Bristol City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Preston vs Bristol City?
On our numbers Preston have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bristol City 40%.
How many goals will there be in Preston vs Bristol City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Preston vs Bristol City?
Our predicted score is Preston 1–1 Bristol City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Preston vs Bristol City?
Preston vs Bristol City (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Deepdale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.