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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Preston v Bristol City: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Deepdale

Preston

LLLLD
1–3
FT
Preston 37%Draw 23%Bristol City 40% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.39
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Bristol City to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBristol City to win ✓40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Preston vs Bristol City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 1 September the Championship brings Preston against Bristol City at Deepdale. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Preston are 24th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 15 matches; Bristol City are 17th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Preston, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Charlton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Bristol City, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Portsmouth, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Bristol City, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Preston.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Preston 1.3 xG, Bristol City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Preston 37%, draw 23%, Bristol City 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Bristol City to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Preston 1–1 Bristol City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Preston37%fair 2.67 · @2.54
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Bristol City40%fair 2.52 · @2.70
2.74Expected goals
1.34Preston xG
1.39Bristol City xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%

From our goals model: Preston 1.3 – 1.4 Bristol City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBristol City to win ✓40%2.522.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.67
Draw no betBristol City (draw no bet) ✓52%1.94–
Asian handicapPreston +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.11
First team to scoreBristol City to score first ✓48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bristol City / FT Bristol City ✓22%4.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Preston – last 6

LLLLDL
29 Aug@ Charlton0–1L
26 Augvs Everton0–4L
22 Augvs Wolves1–3L
15 Aug@ Bolton1–2L
8 Augvs Huddersfield1–1D
1 Aug@ Stockport County0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bristol City – last 6

WDLLDD
29 Augvs Portsmouth2–1W
22 Aug@ Birmingham2–2D
15 Augvs Millwall0–2L
6 Augvs Walsall0–1L
1 Aug@ Exeter City1–1D
1 Aug@ Plymouth0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Preston and Bristol City.

Preston vs Bristol City head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Preston vs Bristol City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Preston vs Bristol City?

On our numbers Preston have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bristol City 40%.

How many goals will there be in Preston vs Bristol City?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Preston vs Bristol City?

Our predicted score is Preston 1–1 Bristol City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Preston vs Bristol City?

Preston vs Bristol City (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Deepdale.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.