Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSheffield Utd to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceSheffield Utd or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.77
Sheffield Utd vs Bolton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 1 September: Sheffield Utd v Bolton in the Championship, played at Bramall Lane. In the table, Sheffield Utd are 10th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Bolton are 18th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Sheffield Utd, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cardiff, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Bolton, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lincoln, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sheffield Utd 1.5 xG, Bolton 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sheffield Utd 63%, draw 21%, Bolton 16%.
Lower-risk option: Sheffield Utd or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.35 – longer than our fair 1.29, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sheffield Utd 1–0 Bolton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sheffield Utd63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.75
Bolton16%fair 6.39 · @4.65
2.02Expected goals
1.49Sheffield Utd xG
0.53Bolton xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sheffield Utd 1.5 – 0.5 Bolton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheffield Utd to win✓
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Sheffield Utd or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Draw no bet
Sheffield Utd (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Sheffield Utd -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
1.12
First team to score
Sheffield Utd to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sheffield Utd / FT Sheffield Utd✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.77
–
Recent results
Sheffield Utd – last 6
DWDDWD
29 Aug
@ Cardiff
2–2
D
25 Aug
@ Blackburn
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Swansea
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Birmingham
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Mansfield Town
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ VfL Bochum
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bolton – last 6
LDWLWD
29 Aug
vs Lincoln
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ QPR
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Preston
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Sheffield Wednesday
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs NAC Breda
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Fleetwood Town
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sheffield Utd and Bolton.
What is the prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Bolton?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Bolton?
On our numbers Sheffield Utd have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bolton 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sheffield Utd vs Bolton?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheffield Utd vs Bolton?
Our predicted score is Sheffield Utd 1–0 Bolton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sheffield Utd vs Bolton?
Sheffield Utd vs Bolton (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bramall Lane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
