Lincoln 23%Draw 20%Southampton 57%Expected goals 1.06 – 1.82
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultSouthampton to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Lincoln vs Southampton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lincoln welcome Southampton to LNER stadium for a Championship fixture on Saturday 5 September (12:30 WAT). In the table, Lincoln are 21st, lower half, on 15 points after 15 matches; Southampton are 7th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Lincoln, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Blackburn, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Southampton, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Birmingham, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lincoln 1.1 xG, Southampton 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lincoln 23%, draw 20%, Southampton 57%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lincoln 1–1 Southampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lincoln23%fair 4.28 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.80
Southampton57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
2.88Expected goals
1.06Lincoln xG
1.82Southampton xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
1–06%
From our goals model: Lincoln 1.1 – 1.8 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southampton to win✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.62
Draw no bet
Southampton (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Lincoln +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Southampton to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Southampton ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southampton / FT Southampton✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Lincoln – last 6
DWWLLW
1 Sep
vs Blackburn
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Bolton
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Blackpool
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs Portsmouth
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Middlesbrough
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Derby
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Southampton – last 6
DWLWLW
1 Sep
@ Birmingham
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Millwall
5–1
W
25 Aug
vs West Ham
1–4
L
22 Aug
vs Stoke City
3–1
W
16 Aug
@ Watford
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Colchester
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Southampton.
What is the prediction for Lincoln vs Southampton?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Lincoln vs Southampton?
On our numbers Lincoln have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Southampton 57%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs Southampton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Southampton?
Our predicted score is Lincoln 1–1 Southampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lincoln vs Southampton?
Lincoln vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at LNER stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
