Stoke City 41%Draw 23%Charlton 36%Expected goals 1.42 – 1.33
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Charlton to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStoke City to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Stoke City vs Charlton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Charlton travel to face Stoke City on Saturday 5 September in the Championship, with Bet365 Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Stoke City are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Charlton are 19th (lower half) with 17. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Stoke City, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Norwich, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Charlton, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with West Brom, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Charlton, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Stoke City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stoke City 1.4 xG, Charlton 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stoke City 41%, draw 23%, Charlton 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Charlton to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stoke City 1–1 Charlton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stoke City41%fair 2.47 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Charlton36%fair 2.75 · @3.40
2.75Expected goals
1.42Stoke City xG
1.33Charlton xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Stoke City 1.4 – 1.3 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✓
41%
2.47
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Stoke City (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Charlton +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Stoke City to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✓
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Stoke City – last 6
WLDLLW
1 Sep
vs Norwich
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Wolves
1–4
L
25 Aug
vs Hull City
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Southampton
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Swansea
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Oldham
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Charlton – last 6
DWLWWW
2 Sep
@ West Brom
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Preston
1–0
W
26 Aug
@ Tottenham
1–5
L
22 Aug
@ West Ham
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Derby
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Cheltenham
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Charlton.
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Charlton?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Stoke City vs Charlton?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Charlton 36%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Charlton?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Charlton?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–1 Charlton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Charlton?
Stoke City vs Charlton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Bet365 Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
