Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: QPR to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
QPR vs Middlesbrough: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: QPR v Middlesbrough in the Championship, played at Loftus Road. In the table, QPR are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Middlesbrough are 2nd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
QPR, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cardiff, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Middlesbrough, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Burnley, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended QPR 0–4 Middlesbrough.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give QPR 1.3 xG, Middlesbrough 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – QPR 35%, draw 22%, Middlesbrough 43%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: QPR to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: QPR 1–1 Middlesbrough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
QPR35%fair 2.82 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.40
Middlesbrough43%fair 2.33 · @2.15
2.75Expected goals
1.29QPR xG
1.46Middlesbrough xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: QPR 1.3 – 1.5 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win QPR vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers QPR have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Middlesbrough 43%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Middlesbrough?
Our predicted score is QPR 1–1 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Middlesbrough?
QPR vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
