Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Cardiff to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCardiff to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Portsmouth vs Cardiff: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Portsmouth v Cardiff in the Championship, played at Fratton Park. In the table, Portsmouth are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Cardiff are 14th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Portsmouth, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Derby, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Cardiff, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to QPR, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portsmouth 1.6 xG, Cardiff 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portsmouth 39%, draw 21%, Cardiff 40%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Cardiff to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portsmouth 1–1 Cardiff. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portsmouth39%fair 2.58 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Cardiff40%fair 2.52 · @2.75
3.25Expected goals
1.61Portsmouth xG
1.64Cardiff xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.6 – 1.6 Cardiff expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✗
40%
2.52
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.60
Draw no bet
Cardiff (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Portsmouth +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Cardiff to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.94
–
Recent results
Portsmouth – last 6
LLWLLD
1 Sep
vs Derby
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Bristol City
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Lincoln
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs QPR
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ West Ham
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ SV Darmstadt 98
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cardiff – last 6
LDLDDW
2 Sep
@ QPR
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Norwich
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Derby
2–2
D
17 Aug
vs Wrexham
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Swindon Town
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portsmouth and Cardiff.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Cardiff?
On our numbers Portsmouth have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cardiff 40%.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Cardiff?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Cardiff?
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 Cardiff, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Portsmouth vs Cardiff?
Portsmouth vs Cardiff (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
