Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultMillwall to win ✗39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Blackburn vs Millwall: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Championship brings Blackburn against Millwall at Ewood Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Blackburn are 13th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Millwall are 16th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Blackburn, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sheffield Utd, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Millwall, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Newcastle, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Millwall, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Blackburn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Blackburn 1.5 xG, Millwall 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Blackburn 38%, draw 23%, Millwall 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blackburn 1–1 Millwall. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Blackburn38%fair 2.66 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.20
Millwall39%fair 2.53 · @2.45
3.09Expected goals
1.52Blackburn xG
1.57Millwall xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Blackburn 1.5 – 1.6 Millwall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millwall to win✗
39%
2.53
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Millwall (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Blackburn +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Millwall to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millwall / FT Millwall✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Blackburn – last 6
LLDLLW
8 Sep
vs Sheffield Utd
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Preston
1–2
L
1 Sep
@ Lincoln
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs QPR
1–2
L
25 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Middlesbrough
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Millwall – last 6
LWLLWW
8 Sep
vs Newcastle
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Bolton
4–0
W
2 Sep
vs Wrexham
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Southampton
1–5
L
25 Aug
@ Cambridge United
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Norwich
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blackburn and Millwall.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Blackburn vs Millwall?
On our numbers Blackburn have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Millwall 39%.
How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Millwall?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Millwall?
Our predicted score is Blackburn 1–1 Millwall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Blackburn vs Millwall?
Blackburn vs Millwall (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ewood Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
