Value bet: Lincoln to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPreston to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.31
Preston vs Lincoln: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Championship brings Preston against Lincoln at Deepdale. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Preston are 24th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 15 matches; Lincoln are 21st (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Preston, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Watford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lincoln, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Bournemouth, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lincoln, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Preston.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Preston 1.3 xG, Lincoln 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Preston 39%, draw 22%, Lincoln 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Lincoln to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Preston 1–1 Lincoln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Preston39%fair 2.57 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Lincoln39%fair 2.60 · @2.90
2.55Expected goals
1.28Preston xG
1.27Lincoln xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Preston 1.3 – 1.3 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Preston to win✗
39%
2.57
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Draw no bet
Preston (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Lincoln +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Preston to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Preston / FT Preston✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.31
–
Recent results
Preston – last 6
LWLLLL
8 Sep
@ Watford
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Blackburn
2–1
W
1 Sep
vs Bristol City
1–3
L
29 Aug
@ Charlton
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Everton
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs Wolves
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lincoln – last 6
LDDWWL
8 Sep
@ Bournemouth
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Southampton
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Blackburn
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Bolton
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Blackpool
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs Portsmouth
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Preston and Lincoln.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Preston vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Preston have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lincoln 39%.
How many goals will there be in Preston vs Lincoln?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Preston vs Lincoln?
Our predicted score is Preston 1–1 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Preston vs Lincoln?
Preston vs Lincoln (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Deepdale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
