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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Charlton v Portsmouth: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · The Valley

Charlton

DLDWL
0–0
FT

Portsmouth

WLLWL
Charlton 37%Draw 24%Portsmouth 39% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.30
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultPortsmouth to win ✗39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.13

Charlton vs Portsmouth: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 12 September the Championship brings Charlton against Portsmouth at The Valley. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Charlton are 19th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Portsmouth are 11th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Charlton, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with QPR, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Portsmouth, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cardiff, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Charlton 1–3 Portsmouth.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Charlton 1.3 xG, Portsmouth 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Charlton 37%, draw 24%, Portsmouth 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlton 1–1 Portsmouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Charlton37%fair 2.72 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Portsmouth39%fair 2.56 · @2.50
2.55Expected goals
1.25Charlton xG
1.30Portsmouth xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Charlton 1.3 – 1.3 Portsmouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortsmouth to win ✗39%2.562.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.941.83
Draw no betPortsmouth (draw no bet)52%1.94–
Asian handicapCharlton +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scorePortsmouth to score first ✗47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.13–

Recent results

Charlton – last 6

DLDWLW
9 Sepvs QPR0–0D
5 Sep@ Stoke City0–4L
2 Sep@ West Brom1–1D
29 Augvs Preston1–0W
26 Aug@ Tottenham1–5L
22 Aug@ West Ham2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Portsmouth – last 6

WLLWLL
5 Sepvs Cardiff2–0W
1 Sepvs Derby0–2L
29 Aug@ Bristol City1–2L
22 Aug@ Lincoln3–1W
15 Augvs QPR1–3L
8 Aug@ West Ham1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Feb 2026Charlton v Portsmouth1–3
Charlton vs Portsmouth head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub
FT Bolton1 Cardiff0 136%2.60X22%3.40243%2.45 1.4–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.50 ✗
FT Derby1 Birmingham2 128%3.60X23%3.10249%2.05 1.1–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.75 ✓
FT West Brom1 QPR1 146%2.10X23%3.25232%3.30 1.2–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.62 ✓
FT Blackburn3 Millwall1 138%2.75X23%3.20239%2.45 1.5–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.70 ✓
FT Middlesbrough4 Norwich3 158%1.83X17%3.80225%3.70 1.8–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.50 ✓
FT Preston0 Lincoln1 139%2.30X22%3.30239%2.90 1.3–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.65 ✗
FT Southampton4 Bristol City1 164%1.67X23%4.00213%4.40 2.3–1.0xG 1Southampton to win 64%@1.67 ✓
FT Swansea3 Burnley1 145%2.05X22%3.30233%3.40 1.5–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.67 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlton vs Portsmouth?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Charlton vs Portsmouth?

On our numbers Charlton have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Portsmouth 39%.

How many goals will there be in Charlton vs Portsmouth?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Portsmouth?

Our predicted score is Charlton 1–1 Portsmouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Charlton vs Portsmouth?

Charlton vs Portsmouth (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Valley.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.