Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultCardiff to win ✗43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Bolton vs Cardiff: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Bolton v Cardiff in the Championship, played at Toughsheet Community Stadium. In the table, Bolton are 18th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Cardiff are 14th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bolton, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to West Ham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Cardiff, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stoke City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bolton 1.4 xG, Cardiff 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bolton 36%, draw 22%, Cardiff 43%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolton 1–1 Cardiff. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bolton36%fair 2.80 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.40
Cardiff43%fair 2.34 · @2.45
2.92Expected goals
1.38Bolton xG
1.54Cardiff xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Bolton 1.4 – 1.5 Cardiff expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✗
43%
2.34
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Draw no bet
Cardiff (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Bolton +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Cardiff to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Bolton – last 6
LLLLDW
8 Sep
vs West Ham
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Millwall
0–4
L
1 Sep
@ Sheffield Utd
2–3
L
29 Aug
vs Lincoln
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ QPR
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Preston
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cardiff – last 6
DLLDLD
8 Sep
vs Stoke City
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Portsmouth
0–2
L
2 Sep
@ QPR
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Norwich
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Derby
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolton and Cardiff.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Bolton vs Cardiff?
On our numbers Bolton have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cardiff 43%.
How many goals will there be in Bolton vs Cardiff?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Cardiff?
Our predicted score is Bolton 1–1 Cardiff, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bolton vs Cardiff?
Bolton vs Cardiff (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Toughsheet Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
