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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Middlesbrough v Charlton: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Riverside Stadium
3–0
FT
Middlesbrough 71%Draw 20%Charlton 9% Expected goals 2.30 – 0.74
71%
Betarazi pick

Middlesbrough to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓71% · @1.25
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68

Middlesbrough vs Charlton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 31 October the Championship brings Middlesbrough against Charlton at Riverside Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Middlesbrough are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Charlton are 19th (lower half) with 17. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Middlesbrough, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Bolton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Charlton, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Norwich, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Middlesbrough, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Charlton.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Middlesbrough 0–1 Charlton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Middlesbrough 2.3 xG, Charlton 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Middlesbrough 71%, draw 20%, Charlton 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Middlesbrough to win (71%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Middlesbrough 2–0 Charlton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Middlesbrough71%fair 1.41 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @6.00
Charlton9%fair 11.34 · @9.50
3.04Expected goals
2.30Middlesbrough xG
0.74Charlton xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Middlesbrough 2.3 – 0.7 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMiddlesbrough to win ✓71%1.411.25
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓91%1.101.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.73
Draw no betMiddlesbrough (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapMiddlesbrough -1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.71–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreMiddlesbrough to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultMiddlesbrough ahead at half-time ✓53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough ✓49%2.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.68–

Recent results

Middlesbrough – last 6

WDWWDD
23 Oct@ Bolton5–1W
17 Octvs Cardiff2–2D
13 Oct@ Stoke City3–2W
10 Octvs Wolves1–0W
19 Sep@ Birmingham2–2D
15 Sepvs Millwall2–2D
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Charlton – last 6

LLDDLD
24 Octvs Norwich1–3L
17 Oct@ Watford0–2L
13 Oct@ Burnley2–2D
10 Octvs Bristol City1–1D
19 Sep@ Cardiff1–3L
12 Sepvs Portsmouth0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Mar 2026Middlesbrough v Charlton0–1
Middlesbrough vs Charlton head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

Our pick is Middlesbrough to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

On our numbers Middlesbrough have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Charlton 9%.

How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

Our predicted score is Middlesbrough 2–0 Charlton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

Middlesbrough vs Charlton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Riverside Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.