Stoke City 65%Draw 21%Preston 15%Expected goals 2.03 – 0.85
85%
Betarazi pick
Stoke City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Stoke City to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStoke City to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceStoke City or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Stoke City vs Preston: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stoke City welcome Preston to Bet365 Stadium for a Championship fixture on Saturday 31 October (13:30 WAT). In the table, Stoke City are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Preston are 24th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Stoke City, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bristol City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Preston, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with West Brom, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Stoke City, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Preston.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Preston 3–1 Stoke City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stoke City 2.0 xG, Preston 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stoke City 65%, draw 21%, Preston 15%.
Lower-risk option: Stoke City or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Stoke City to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Stoke City or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stoke City 2–0 Preston. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stoke City65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.70
Preston15%fair 6.89 · @4.40
2.88Expected goals
2.03Stoke City xG
0.85Preston xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Stoke City 2.0 – 0.8 Preston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Stoke City or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Stoke City vs Preston?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Preston 15%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Preston?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Preston?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 2–0 Preston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Preston?
Stoke City vs Preston (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Bet365 Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
