Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultSouthampton to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceSouthampton or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Southampton vs QPR: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
QPR travel to face Southampton on Saturday 31 October in the Championship, with St. Mary's Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Southampton are 7th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; QPR are 8th (upper half) with 24. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Southampton, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over West Ham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
QPR, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Swansea, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Southampton, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for QPR.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Southampton 5–0 QPR.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Southampton 1.8 xG, QPR 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Southampton 56%, draw 23%, QPR 21%.
Lower-risk option: Southampton or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Southampton or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southampton 1–1 QPR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Southampton56%fair 1.77 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.60
QPR21%fair 4.87 · @3.70
2.83Expected goals
1.82Southampton xG
1.01QPR xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Southampton 1.8 – 1.0 QPR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Southampton or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Southampton vs QPR?
On our numbers Southampton have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and QPR 21%.
How many goals will there be in Southampton vs QPR?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southampton vs QPR?
Our predicted score is Southampton 1–1 QPR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Southampton vs QPR?
Southampton vs QPR (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at St. Mary's Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
