Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Swansea to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSwansea to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceSwansea or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Swansea vs Blackburn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Blackburn travel to face Swansea on Saturday 31 October in the Championship, with Swansea.com Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Swansea are 6th, upper half, on 26 points after 15 matches; Blackburn are 13th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Swansea, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to QPR, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Blackburn, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Wrexham, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Swansea 1.9 xG, Blackburn 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Swansea 65%, draw 22%, Blackburn 14%.
Lower-risk option: Swansea or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Swansea to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Swansea or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swansea 1–0 Blackburn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Swansea65%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.60
Blackburn14%fair 7.19 · @4.40
2.67Expected goals
1.91Swansea xG
0.76Blackburn xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Swansea 1.9 – 0.8 Blackburn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swansea to win✓
65%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Swansea or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Swansea (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Swansea -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Swansea to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Swansea ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swansea / FT Swansea✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Swansea – last 6
LLWWWW
24 Oct
@ QPR
0–5
L
17 Oct
vs West Ham
0–1
L
13 Oct
@ Millwall
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Norwich
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Lincoln
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Burnley
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Blackburn – last 6
WLWWDW
24 Oct
vs Wrexham
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ West Brom
2–3
L
13 Oct
@ Bristol City
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Cardiff
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Portsmouth
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Millwall
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swansea and Blackburn.
Our pick is Swansea or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?
On our numbers Swansea have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Blackburn 14%.
How many goals will there be in Swansea vs Blackburn?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Blackburn?
Our predicted score is Swansea 1–0 Blackburn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Swansea vs Blackburn?
Swansea vs Blackburn (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Swansea.com Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
