Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Wolves to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWolves to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceWolves or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Wolves vs Cardiff: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Wolves v Cardiff in the Championship, played at Molineux Stadium. In the table, Wolves are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 15 matches; Cardiff are 14th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Wolves, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Watford, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Cardiff, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Birmingham, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wolves 2.1 xG, Cardiff 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wolves 66%, draw 20%, Cardiff 14%.
Lower-risk option: Wolves or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Wolves to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Wolves or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wolves 2–0 Cardiff. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wolves66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.00
Cardiff14%fair 6.92 · @4.40
3.00Expected goals
2.12Wolves xG
0.88Cardiff xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Wolves 2.1 – 0.9 Cardiff expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wolves to win✓
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Wolves or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.50
Draw no bet
Wolves (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Wolves -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Wolves to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Wolves ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wolves / FT Wolves✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Wolves – last 6
WDWLLW
24 Oct
vs Watford
1–0
W
20 Oct
vs Portsmouth
1–1
D
16 Oct
@ Burnley
2–1
W
13 Oct
vs Bolton
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Middlesbrough
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs West Brom
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cardiff – last 6
WDWLWL
24 Oct
vs Birmingham
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ Middlesbrough
2–2
D
13 Oct
vs Watford
5–1
W
10 Oct
@ Blackburn
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Charlton
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bolton
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wolves and Cardiff.
Our pick is Wolves or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Wolves vs Cardiff?
On our numbers Wolves have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cardiff 14%.
How many goals will there be in Wolves vs Cardiff?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wolves vs Cardiff?
Our predicted score is Wolves 2–0 Cardiff, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Wolves vs Cardiff?
Wolves vs Cardiff (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Molineux Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
