Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPort Vale to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.15
Oldham vs Port Vale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Oldham v Port Vale in the League Two, played at Boundary Park. In the table, Oldham are 18th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Port Vale are 19th (lower half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Oldham, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Stoke City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Port Vale, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Wolves, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Port Vale, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Oldham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oldham 1.2 xG, Port Vale 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oldham 37%, draw 23%, Port Vale 40%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Port Vale to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oldham 1–1 Port Vale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oldham37%fair 2.73 · @2.58
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
Port Vale40%fair 2.48 · @2.70
2.48Expected goals
1.20Oldham xG
1.28Port Vale xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Oldham 1.2 – 1.3 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win✗
40%
2.48
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.77
Draw no bet
Port Vale (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Oldham +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Port Vale to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
Oldham – last 6
LWLLLD
8 Aug
@ Stoke City
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Sheffield Wednesday
4–0
W
28 Jul
vs Stockport County
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs Bolton
1–3
L
14 Apr
@ Barrow
2–3
L
6 Apr
vs Milton Keynes Dons
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 6
LWWWWW
7 Aug
@ Wolves
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Blackpool
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Real Murcia
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Wigan
3–1
W
14 Jul
vs Tamworth
5–0
W
28 Apr
@ Stockport County
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oldham and Port Vale.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Oldham vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Oldham have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Port Vale 40%.
How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oldham vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Oldham 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Oldham vs Port Vale?
Oldham vs Port Vale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
