Grimsby 62%Draw 24%Exeter City 13%Expected goals 1.93 – 0.81
87%
Betarazi pick
Grimsby or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Grimsby to win @ 1.76 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGrimsby to win ✓62% · @1.76
Double chanceGrimsby or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Grimsby vs Exeter City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the League Two brings Grimsby against Exeter City at Blundell Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Grimsby are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Exeter City are 12th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Grimsby, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Blackpool, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Exeter City, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Plymouth, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Grimsby, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Exeter City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grimsby 1.9 xG, Exeter City 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grimsby 62%, draw 24%, Exeter City 13%.
Lower-risk option: Grimsby or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Grimsby to win @1.76 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Grimsby or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grimsby 1–0 Exeter City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grimsby62%fair 1.60 · @1.76
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.65
Exeter City13%fair 7.41 · @4.35
2.74Expected goals
1.93Grimsby xG
0.81Exeter City xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Grimsby 1.9 – 0.8 Exeter City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win✓
62%
1.60
1.76 ▲
Double chance
Grimsby or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.73
Draw no bet
Grimsby (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Grimsby -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
Grimsby to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Grimsby ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Grimsby – last 6
LWWDWW
8 Aug
vs Blackpool
1–3
L
4 Aug
vs Grimsby Borough
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs Wigan
2–0
W
29 Jul
@ Boston United
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Lincoln
5–1
W
25 Jul
@ Hartlepool
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Exeter City – last 6
LDLWLW
10 Aug
@ Plymouth
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Bristol City
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Torquay
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Weston-super-Mare
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Truro City
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Doncaster
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grimsby and Exeter City.
What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Exeter City?
Our pick is Grimsby or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Grimsby vs Exeter City?
On our numbers Grimsby have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Exeter City 13%.
How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Exeter City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grimsby vs Exeter City?
Our predicted score is Grimsby 1–0 Exeter City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Grimsby vs Exeter City?
Grimsby vs Exeter City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
