Chesterfield 63%Draw 22%Fleetwood Town 15%Expected goals 1.84 – 0.77
85%
Betarazi pick
Chesterfield or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Chesterfield to win @ 1.81 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChesterfield to win ✗63% · @1.81
Double chanceChesterfield or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fleetwood Town travel to face Chesterfield on Saturday 15 August in the League Two, with SMH Group Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Chesterfield are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Fleetwood Town are 16th (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chesterfield, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fleetwood Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Fleetwood Town, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chesterfield, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Fleetwood Town 1–0 Chesterfield.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 1.8 xG, Fleetwood Town 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 63%, draw 22%, Fleetwood Town 15%.
Lower-risk option: Chesterfield or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Chesterfield to win @1.81 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chesterfield or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 1–0 Fleetwood Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chesterfield63%fair 1.59 · @1.81
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
Fleetwood Town15%fair 6.55 · @4.30
2.61Expected goals
1.84Chesterfield xG
0.77Fleetwood Town xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.8 – 0.8 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?
Our pick is Chesterfield or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fleetwood Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–0 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
