Value bet: Crewe to win @ 2.65 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCrewe to win ✓44% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Crawley Town vs Crewe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Crawley Town welcome Crewe to The Broadfield Stadium for a League Two fixture on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Crawley Town are 24th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Crewe are 4th (among the top four) with 22. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Crawley Town, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Watford, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Crewe, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Accrington ST, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Crewe, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Crawley Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crawley Town 1.2 xG, Crewe 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crawley Town 33%, draw 23%, Crewe 44%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Crewe to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crawley Town 1–1 Crewe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crawley Town33%fair 3.04 · @2.56
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Crewe44%fair 2.25 · @2.65
2.63Expected goals
1.19Crawley Town xG
1.44Crewe xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Crawley Town 1.2 – 1.4 Crewe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crewe to win✓
44%
2.25
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Draw no bet
Crewe (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Crawley Town +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Crewe to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crewe / FT Crewe✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Crawley Town – last 6
LWLLWL
8 Aug
@ Watford
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ York
2–0
W
31 Jul
vs Reading
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Oxford United
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ Eastleigh
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Grimsby
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Crewe – last 6
WDLWDW
8 Aug
vs Accrington ST
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Chester
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Birmingham
1–2
L
21 Jul
@ AFC Telford United
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Stoke City
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Witton Albion
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crawley Town and Crewe.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Crewe?
On our numbers Crawley Town have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Crewe 44%.
How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Crewe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crawley Town vs Crewe?
Our predicted score is Crawley Town 1–1 Crewe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Crawley Town vs Crewe?
Crawley Town vs Crewe (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Broadfield Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
