Value bet: Accrington ST to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAccrington ST to win ✗42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Accrington ST vs Colchester: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the League Two brings Accrington ST against Colchester at The Wham Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Accrington ST are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Colchester are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Accrington ST, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Crewe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Colchester, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Southampton, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Accrington ST, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Colchester.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Apr 2026) it ended Colchester 2–1 Accrington ST.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 1.3 xG, Colchester 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 42%, draw 23%, Colchester 35%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Accrington ST to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–1 Colchester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Accrington ST42%fair 2.36 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Colchester35%fair 2.88 · @2.72
2.48Expected goals
1.32Accrington ST xG
1.16Colchester xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.3 – 1.2 Colchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Colchester?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Colchester?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colchester 35%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Colchester?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Colchester?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Colchester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Colchester?
Accrington ST vs Colchester (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
