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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barnet v Accrington ST: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · The Hive Stadium

Barnet

DDDWW
2–1
FT
Barnet 66%Draw 22%Accrington ST 12% Expected goals 2.76 – 1.24
66%
Betarazi pick

Barnet to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarnet to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceBarnet or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.56

Barnet vs Accrington ST: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Barnet v Accrington ST in the League Two, played at The Hive Stadium. In the table, Barnet are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Accrington ST are 9th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Barnet, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Chesterfield, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Accrington ST, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Crawley Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Barnet, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Accrington ST.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Accrington ST 0–1 Barnet.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barnet 2.8 xG, Accrington ST 1.2 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barnet 66%, draw 22%, Accrington ST 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Barnet to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barnet 2–1 Accrington ST. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barnet66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.20
Accrington ST12%fair 8.35 · @5.80
4.00Expected goals
2.76Barnet xG
1.24Accrington ST xG
63%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–06%
1–16%
4–15%

From our goals model: Barnet 2.8 – 1.2 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarnet to win ✓66%1.511.44
Double chanceBarnet or draw ✓88%1.141.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.65
Draw no betBarnet (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapBarnet -1 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scoreBarnet to score first ✗68%1.48–
Half-time resultBarnet ahead at half-time ✗53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barnet / FT Barnet ✗47%2.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.56–

Recent results

Barnet – last 6

DDDWWW
5 Sep@ Chesterfield3–3D
1 Sep@ Exeter City1–1D
29 Augvs Cheltenham2–2D
22 Aug@ Shrewsbury3–1W
18 Augvs Arsenal U215–1W
15 Augvs Salford City3–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Accrington ST – last 6

WDLLDL
5 Sepvs Crawley Town3–2W
1 Sepvs Grimsby2–2D
29 Aug@ Walsall2–3L
22 Aug@ Exeter City0–2L
15 Augvs Colchester2–2D
8 Aug@ Crewe1–2L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Feb 2026Accrington ST v Barnet0–1
Barnet vs Accrington ST head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barnet vs Accrington ST?

Our pick is Barnet to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Barnet vs Accrington ST?

On our numbers Barnet have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Accrington ST 12%.

How many goals will there be in Barnet vs Accrington ST?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barnet vs Accrington ST?

Our predicted score is Barnet 2–1 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Barnet vs Accrington ST?

Barnet vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Hive Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.