Newport County 31%Draw 22%Fleetwood Town 47%Expected goals 1.21 – 1.59
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultFleetwood Town to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Newport County vs Fleetwood Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Newport County v Fleetwood Town in the League Two, played at Rodney Parade. In the table, Newport County are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Fleetwood Town are 16th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Newport County, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Northampton, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Fleetwood Town, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Shrewsbury, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Fleetwood Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Newport County.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newport County 1.2 xG, Fleetwood Town 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newport County 31%, draw 22%, Fleetwood Town 47%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newport County 1–1 Fleetwood Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newport County31%fair 3.25 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Fleetwood Town47%fair 2.11 · @2.10
2.80Expected goals
1.21Newport County xG
1.59Fleetwood Town xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Newport County 1.2 – 1.6 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fleetwood Town to win✗
47%
2.11
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.75
Draw no bet
Fleetwood Town (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Newport County +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Fleetwood Town to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fleetwood Town / FT Fleetwood Town✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.77
–
Recent results
Newport County – last 6
LLDLWD
5 Sep
@ Northampton
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Salford City
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Tranmere
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Bristol Rovers
3–5
L
15 Aug
vs Rochdale
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ AFC Wimbledon
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town – last 6
WDDWDW
5 Sep
vs Shrewsbury
2–0
W
1 Sep
vs Oldham
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Grimsby
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Shrewsbury
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Gillingham
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Chesterfield
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport County and Fleetwood Town.
What is the prediction for Newport County vs Fleetwood Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Newport County vs Fleetwood Town?
On our numbers Newport County have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fleetwood Town 47%.
How many goals will there be in Newport County vs Fleetwood Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport County vs Fleetwood Town?
Our predicted score is Newport County 1–1 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Newport County vs Fleetwood Town?
Newport County vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
