Value bet: Crewe to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultColchester to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.16
Colchester vs Crewe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Crewe travel to face Colchester on Saturday 12 September in the League Two – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Colchester are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 13 matches; Crewe are 4th (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Colchester, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Swindon Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Crewe, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with York, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colchester 1.1 xG, Crewe 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colchester 41%, draw 22%, Crewe 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Crewe to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colchester 1–1 Crewe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colchester41%fair 2.45 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Crewe37%fair 2.68 · @3.10
2.20Expected goals
1.14Colchester xG
1.06Crewe xG
57%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Colchester 1.1 – 1.1 Crewe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colchester to win✗
41%
2.45
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Draw no bet
Colchester (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Crewe +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Colchester to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colchester / FT Colchester✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.16
–
Recent results
Colchester – last 6
LLWWDL
5 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
1 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Rochdale
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Oldham
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Accrington ST
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Southampton
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Crewe – last 6
DDDLWW
5 Sep
vs York
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Walsall
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Port Vale
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Barnsley
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Northampton
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Crawley Town
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Crewe.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Colchester vs Crewe?
On our numbers Colchester have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Crewe 37%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Crewe?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Crewe?
Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Crewe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Crewe?
Colchester vs Crewe (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
