Value bet: Exeter City to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPort Vale to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 16.30
Port Vale vs Exeter City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Exeter City travel to face Port Vale on Saturday 12 September in the League Two, with Vale Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Port Vale are 19th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Exeter City are 12th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Port Vale, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Salford City, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Exeter City, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tottenham Hotspur U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Exeter City, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Port Vale.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Port Vale 0.9 xG, Exeter City 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Port Vale 44%, draw 22%, Exeter City 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Exeter City to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Port Vale 1–1 Exeter City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Port Vale44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Exeter City34%fair 2.94 · @3.40
1.70Expected goals
0.94Port Vale xG
0.76Exeter City xG
52%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Port Vale 0.9 – 0.8 Exeter City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win✓
44%
2.26
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Draw no bet
Port Vale (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Exeter City +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Port Vale to score first✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
16.30
–
Recent results
Port Vale – last 6
LLDDLL
5 Sep
@ Salford City
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Crewe
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Tranmere
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Oldham
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ Wolves
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Exeter City – last 6
WDDLWL
8 Sep
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Walsall
0–0
D
1 Sep
vs Barnet
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ York
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Accrington ST
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Grimsby
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Exeter City.
What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Exeter City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Port Vale vs Exeter City?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Exeter City 34%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Exeter City?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Exeter City?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–1 Exeter City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Exeter City?
Port Vale vs Exeter City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
